On a learning problem that is independent of the set theory ZFC axioms

We consider the following statistical estimation problem: given a family F of real valued functions over some domain X and an i.i.d. sample drawn from an unknown distribution P over X , find h ∈ F such that the expectation EP (h) is probably approximately equal to sup{EP (h) : h ∈ F}. This Expectation Maximization (EMX) problem captures many well studied learning problems; in fact, it is equivalent to Vapnik’s general setting of learning. Surprisingly, we show that the EMX learnability, as well as the learning rates of some basic class F , depend on the cardinality of the continuum and is therefore independent of the set theory ZFC axioms (that are widely accepted as a formalization of the notion of a mathematical proof). We focus on the case where the functions in F are Boolean, which generalizes classification problems. We study the interaction between the statistical sample complexity of F and its combinatorial structure. We introduce a new version of sample compression schemes and show that it characterizes EMX learnability for a wide family of classes. However, we show that for the class of finite subsets of the real line, the existence of such compression schemes is independent of set theory. We conclude that the learnability of that class with respect to the family of probability distributions of countable support is independent of the set theory ZFC axioms. We also explore the existence of a “VC-dimension-like” parameter that captures learnability in this setting. Our results imply that that there exist no “finitary” combinatorial parameter that characterizes EMX learnability in a way similar to the VC-dimension based characterization of binary valued classification problems.